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Home      Essays     About Me     Contact

Peter P. Pogany

EDUCATION

University of Economics, Budapest, Hungary:

“dr. oec.” (cum laude), Industrial Economics, 1962
Wharton School: post-doctoral MA, Regional Economics, 1967

EMPLOYMENT

2001-present Multi-disciplinary research to develop a new post-Marxian materialist theory of cultural evolution.

2000 (Fall) Adjunct Professor, George Washington University
Taught international economics in Vietnam under a grant from the Ford Foundation (through George Washington University’s Program for International Studies in Asia)

1983-2000 Economist, U.S. International Trade Commission
Participated in international trade-related studies and investigations as requested by the U.S. Congress, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative, or specific industry groups; worked on East European and South-East European economic development issues and U.S. trade relations with the countries of the region. Traveled to Morocco (1995) to attend a French language workshop on general equilibrium modeling; to Ukraine (1995) to serve under the aegis of the U.S. Department of Commerce as a trade policy advisor; to France (1991 and 1993) to attend OECD conferences on Eastern Europe; to the former Soviet Union (1989) in connection with the Commission’s MFN investigation. Retired from federal service in September 2000.

1980-1983 Country Analyst, Foreign Broadcast Information Service (FBIS)
Analyzed the economic policies of various Eastern Bloc countries; translated
Hungarian, French, and German economic texts; wrote reports, press notes.

1978-1980 Statistician, Commonwealth of Virginia
Worked on the annual reports of the Commonwealth of Virginia.
Assistant Professor of Economics, The College of Mary Washington
Taught Principles of Economics, International Trade, and Money and Banking.

1976-1978 Senior Economist and Statistician, Petroci, the national oil company of the Ivory Coast
Supervised the organization’s research division; reported directly to the Deputy Minister of Mines on national energy developments; analyzed policy options for the country’s government.

1969-1976 Assistant Professor of Economics, Virginia Commonwealth University
Taught Principles of Economics, Government and Business Relations, Mathematical Economics, and Statistics. With grants from the Federal Government and the Commonwealth of Virginia, worked on a research project at the International Standardization Organization (ISO) in Geneva, Switzerland.

1968-1969 Principal Planner, Henrico County, VA
Prepared land use studies to help formulate the local government’s zoning policies for the county (population 200,000).

1967-1968 Technical Director, International Planning and Development Co.
Consulted with various government agencies; participated in urban renewal planning, and prepared market studies.

1966-1967 Research Analyst, Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission
Participated in forecasting transportation and other economic activities for the Penn-Jersey area.

1962-1965 Operations Researcher, Ministry of Construction, Budapest, Hungary
Designed mathematical models for regional planning.

1959-1962 Doctoral Candidate and Research Assistant, Ministry of Machine Industry, Budapest, Hungary
Prepared doctoral dissertation and wrote reports on industrial economic problems.

 

MEMBERSHIP

 

The International Society for Ecological Economics

 

The Foundation for the Economics of Sustainability (FEASTA)

 

The International Gebser Society

 

LANGUAGES: Hungarian, French (speak and read fluently); German (read fluently); Russian (read)

STUDIES, PAPERS, PUBLICATIONS: See attached list.

PERSONAL DATA: Born in Budapest, Hungary; U.S. citizen

REFERENCES: Available upon request

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Selected List of Studies, Papers, and Publications

Rethinking the World, published jointly by Shenandoah Valley Research Press and iUniverse, September 2006 (ISBN: 0-595-67868-8; LCCN: 2006908907).

Integration and Competitiveness in the Americas: A General Equilibrium Model for Analysis; Chapter 3 in Market Revolution in Latin America, Beyond Mexico (M. Kotabe and R.P.C. Leal, editors); 2001. (ISBN: 0080438970) (Coauthor).

The Almost Ideal Demand System and Its Application in General Equilibrium Calculations, 1996. (ISBN: 0756743478.)

During Federal Employment, 1980-1999

Contributed to the following USITC Studies / Investigations

Structural Steel Beams from Japan, Investigations no. 731-TA-853 (Final) publication 3308, June 2000. (Antidumping duty investigation.)

Structural Steel Beams from Germany, Japan, Korea, and Spain, Investigations nos. 701-TA-401 and 731-TA-852-855, USITC publication 3225, September 1999. (Antidumping/Countervailing duty investigations.)

Pianos: Economic and Competitive Conditions Affecting the U.S. Industry, Investigation no. 332-401, USITC publication 3196, May 1999. (Investigation requested by Congress.)

Titanium Sponge from Japan, Kazakhstan, Russia, and Ukraine, Investigation no. 751-TA-17-20, USITC publication 3119, August 1998. (Antidumping review investigations.)

The Dynamic Effects of Trade Liberalization: An Empirical Analysis, Investigation no. 332-375, USITC publication 3069, October 1997. (Investigation requested by USTR.)

U.S.-Africa Trade Flows and Effects of the Uruguay Round Agreements and U.S. Trade and Development Policy, Investigation no. 332-362, USITC publication 2938, January 1996. (Investigation requested by USTR.)

Effects of the Arab League Boycott of Israel on U.S. Businesses, Investigation no. 332-349, USITC publication 2827, November 1994.(Investigation requested by Congress.)

Metallurgical Coke: Baseline Analysis of the U.S. Industry and Imports, USITC, Investigation no. 332-342, USITC publication 2745, March 1994. (Investigation requested by Congress.)

Trade and Investment Patterns in the Crude Petroleum and Natural Gas Sectors of the Energy-Producing States of the Former Soviet Union, Investigation no. 332-338, USITC publication 2656, June 1993. (Investigation requested by Congress.)

Central and Eastern Europe: Export Competitiveness of Major Manufacturing and Service Sectors, Investigation no. 332-308, USITC publication 2452, November 1991. (Investigation requested by USTR.)
 

Summary of the Soviet Economy, Economic Reforms, and U.S.-Soviet Economic Relations, USITC Staff Research Study no. 16, USITC publication 2271, April 1990. (Study requested by staff of the Senate Finance Committee.)

Survey of Views on the Impact of Granting Most Favored Nation Status to the Soviet Union, Investigation no. 332-280, USITC publication 2251, January 1990. (Investigation requested by Congress.)

Assessment of the Effects of Barter and Countertrade Transactions on U.S. Industries, Investigation no. 332-185,

USITC publication 1766, October 1985. (Investigation requested by USTR.)

Large Diameter Carbon Steel Welded Pipes from Brazil, Investigation no. 731-TA-183, USITC publication 1569, August 1984. (Antidumping investigation.)

Contributed to every issue of the quarterly East-West Trade Report from April-June 1983 (the 36th report) through July-September 1994 (the 80th report). The USITC prepared these quarterly reports on U.S. trade with the nonmarket economies (later transition economies) pursuant to title IV, section 410 of the Trade Act of 1974, for the Senate Finance Committee and the House Ways and Means Committee.

 

USITC Office of Economics Working Papers

An Overview of Quasiconcavity and its Applications in Economics, no. 99-04-A, April 1999.

Computable General Equilibrium Models: An Historical Perspective, no. 96-09-B, September 1996.

Free Trade with Chile May Increase U.S. Investment Opportunities in Latin America (Background Information for CGE Policy Simulations) no. 96-06-A, June 1996. (Coauthor)

Transition to Market Economy in the Countries of the Central European Free Trade Agreement (Visegrad Group), no. 95-07-A, July 1995.

Economic Policies and Developments in the Countries of the Central European Free Trade Agreement (Visegrad Group) During 1949-1989, no. 95-06-B, June 1995.

 

USITC Office of Economics Research Notes

The World Trade-to-Income Ratio During the Past Half Century: Exploratory Data Analysis, no. 00-01-A, January 2000.

Dynamic Paths in the Global Trade-to-Income Ratio, no. 00-01-A, January 2000.

Exchange Rates, no. 99-06-A, June 1999. (Coauthor)

Identifying Saddle Points with Mathematica, no. 98-02-A, February 1998.

Dynamic Properties of the Linear Expenditure System and Their Possible Applications in Trade Models, no. 97-11-A, November 1997. (Coauthor)

Trade Liberalization and Capital Flows to Developing Countries: Sketch of a Dynamic Model, no. 97-06-B, June 1997. (Coauthor)

Homotheticity in Demand Analysis, no. 97-06-A, June 1997.

Substitution Elasticity Experiments in a CGE Model: Effects of Free Trade with Chile on U.S. Industrial Machinery Exports, no. 97-06-B, December 1996. (Coauthor)

Potential Effects of Free Trade with Chile on U.S. Industrial Machinery Exports, 96-11-A, November 1996. (Coauthor)

The Use of the Almost Ideal Demand System in Trade-Focused Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Models, no. 96-09-B, September 1996.


Conference Papers, Journal Articles, and Discussions

Further Research on the Global Income Elasticity of Trade, paper presented at the 69th Annual Conference of the Southern Economic Association, New Orleans, LA, November 1999. (Coauthor)

“The Global Income Elasticity of Trade: Theory and Potential Applications,” published in Economia Internazionale, vol. L1, no. 3, Genoa, Italy, August 1998.

Global Income Elasticity of Trade: Reality, Theory, and Applications, paper presented at the 68th Annual Conference of the Southern Economic Association, Baltimore, MD, November 1998. (Coauthor)

The Income Elasticity of Trade: Theory, Evidence, and Implications, paper presented at the Third International Conference on Dynamics, Economic Growth, and International Trade, Taipei, Taiwan, August 1998. (Coauthor)

“Modeling Competitiveness in Hemispheric Trade Liberalization: An Application to Chile,” published in Cuadernos de Economia, vol. 35, no. 104, Santiago, Chile, April 1998. (Coauthor)

Integration and Competitiveness in the Americas: A General Equilibrium Model for Analysis, paper presented at the Conference of the Business Association of Latin American Studies, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, April 1997. The paper was printed in the conference proceedings. (Coauthor)

Emploi du Systeme de Dermande Presque Parfait pour Evaluer les Effets des Differents Bloc de Commerce Regionaux, paper presented at the Second International CGE Workshop, Rabat, Morocco, September 21-29, 1995.

Discussant of the paper Real Exchange Rate Effects on the Balance of Trade: Cointegration and the Marshall-Lerner Condition, paper by D. Boyd, M.C. Caporale, and R. Smith at the 69th Annual Conference of the Southern Economic Association, New Orleans, LA, November 1999.

 

Selected Articles in the International Economic Review, a USITC Staff Publication

U.S. Economic Relations With the Countries of the Central European Free Trade Agreement (Visegrad Group), April 1995.

Greater Opportunities for U.S. Business in Ex-Communist Southeastern Europe, January 1995.

Barter and Countertrade on the Rise Again, October 1994.

Shock Therapy in French-speaking Africa Promises Success, August 1994.

Export Controls: The Age of Uncertainty, May 1994. (The article was reprinted by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.)

Foreign Investment in Former Communist Central Europe: U.S. Firms Play a Vital Role, February 1994.

Central and East Europe’s Oil and Gas Imports from Former Soviet Republics: Concerns and Hopes, May 1993.

Central European Countries Conclude Free-Trade Agreement, February 1993.

Steps are Underway to Improve the International Competitiveness of U.S. High-Tech Industries, September 1992. (Coauthor)

Regional Trade May Begin to Recover in the Former Soviet Bloc, May 1992.

An Assessment of the Progress Toward Building Market Economies in Central and Eastern Europe, December 1991.

Liberalization of Foreign Trade in Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Poland: Progress and Prospects, August 1991.

A New Bank to Aid Eastern Europe and the U.S.S.R. Begins Operations, April 1991.

Contours of a New Deal in Economic Cooperation Emerge Among the Nonmarket Economies, August 1990.

Soviets Spur Joint Ventures with the West, February 1989.

The European Community-Hungary Accord: Opening a Pandora’s Box?, August 1988.

Expanding Bonn-East Berlin Trade Corridor Exemplifies Trade Over Politics, May 1984.

Wrote monthly feature of International Economic Comparisons and U.S. Trade Developments from June 1985 through November 1988.

Selected Foreign Broadcast Information Service (FBIS) Publications

Push for Hard Currency Tests Hungary’s Economic Reform, February 1983.

Hungary: Economists Argue for Change, December 1982.

Foreign Broadcast Information Service Memorandum: New Forms of Small Enterprises, Business Management in Hungary, March 1982.

Hungary Pushes Producers to Reduce Manpower but Pledges Full Employment, August 1981.

Hungarian Press Reveals Resistance to Economic Reform, June 1980.

Prior to Federal Employment

Demonstration of a Methodology to Evaluate the Economic Effects of International Standardization (paper prepared under grant from the Commonwealth of Virginia), 1976. (Coauthor)

“Theoretical Measures of School Integration,” Atlantic Economic Journal, vol. III, no.2, November 1975.

An Examination of the Methodology for Measuring the Economic Impact of International Standardization, paper presented at the annual meeting of the Atlantic Economic Society, Washington, DC, September 1975. (Abstract published in the Atlantic Economic Journal, vol. III, no. 2, November 1975.)

The Economic Effects of the Standardization of Containers Used in International, Intermodal Shipping, paper presented at the annual meeting of the Atlantic Economic Society, Washington, DC, September 1975. (Abstract published in the Atlantic Economic Journal, vol. III, no. 2, November 1975.) (Coauthor)

International Industrial Standardization and the U.S., paper presented at the annual meeting of the Western Economic Association, San Diego, CA, November 1974.

Economic Problems in National and International Standardization, paper presented at the annual meeting of the Atlantic Economic Society, Richmond, VA, September 1974. (Abstract published in the Atlantic Economic Journal, vol. II, no. 2, November 1974.)

Applications of Input-Output to Economic Research in National and International Standardization, study prepared under grant from the National Bureau of Standards at the Central Secretariat of the International Standardization Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, August 1974. (Coauthor)

“The Effects of Inflation on Western Europe,” Richmond Times Dispatch, September 18, 1974.

Application of Linear Programming Models to Determine Optimum School Attendance Areas and Busing Schedules.
A final report to the Department of Health, Education and Welfare (DHEW) on the results of the study (no. OEG-3-72-0032), financed jointly by DHEW and the Commonwealth of Virginia, March 1973.

“Optimum School Attendance Areas and Busing Schedules,” Virginia Social Sciences Journal, April 1971.

“Economic Reforms Gain in Hungary,” Richmond Times Dispatch, April 19, 1970.

“A New Approach to Land Use Planning in Residential Areas,” article published in the February 1969 issue of Virginia City and Town and in the August 1969 issue of American County Government.